ChallengerHard (Indoor)Taipei2026-11-01 04:30

Akira Santillan v Evan Zhu

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanVOID

E. Zhu to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 1.44 or bigger · our chance 69% · market 60/40, us 58/42

E. Zhu is 5-5 over the last ten and 38-29 on hard this season. A. Santillan is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-26 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Santillan 1-2.

The pick is E. Zhu to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 69% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.44 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. Santillan		E. Zhu
324	Ranking	479
5-5	Last 10	5-5
LLWWL	Last 5	LLWLL
+0.0	V the odds	-1.3
35-31	Season	44-31
26-26	Hard 2026	38-29
1	Last 7 days	1
5d	Days rest	7d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head 1-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. SantillanFAV1.5860%

E. Zhu2.4240%

Market says60% Santillan

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. SantillanLLLWW

E. ZhuLWLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Santillan1

E. Zhu2

Head to head3 meetings

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-04-09	M25 Maanshan 2 (China)	E. ZhuvA. Santillan	0-6 5-7
2025-06-17	M25 Luzhou	A. SantillanvE. Zhu	7-6 1-6 3-6
2022-03-23	M25 Medellin	A. SantillanvE. Zhu	6-7 6-7

This season & this event

A. Santillan

E. Zhu

35-32

26-27

Lost QF to Y. Nishioka

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

45-32

39-30

Lost R32 to T. Huang

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Akira Santillan

Japan

Evan Zhu

USA

324

Japan

33–29

23–22

10–7

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

479

USA

43–28

38–27

5–1

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Santillan — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	E. Zhu	RET	1.58	60%	LOST
Games in each set1-0 SantillanZhuPoints won62%38%
2026-10-27	Ningbo	Hard	C. Broom		2.47	61%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 SantillanBroomPoints won42%58%Serve points won53%71%Return points won29%47%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved4 of 80 of 1Aces35Double faults12
2026-10-23	Guangzhou	Hard	J. Cui		2.73	65%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 3-6 SantillanCuiPoints won46%54%Serve points won58%65%Return points won35%42%Games held6 of 108 of 9Break points saved3 of 73 of 4Aces84Double faults52
2026-10-22	Guangzhou	Hard	L. Broady		2.85	66%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 SantillanBroadyPoints won55%45%Serve points won73%59%Return points won41%27%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 11 of 4Aces102Double faults25
2026-10-20	Guangzhou	Hard	Y. Demin		1.92	50%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-4 6-3 SantillanDeminPoints won52%48%Serve points won67%66%Return points won34%33%Games held13 of 1511 of 14Break points saved5 of 72 of 5Aces126Double faults42
2026-10-09	Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification	Hard	K. Saitoh		1.62	60%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 1-6 4-6 SantillanSaitohPoints won47%53%Serve points won57%63%Return points won37%43%Games held9 of 1413 of 15Break points saved3 of 86 of 8Aces113Double faults23
2026-10-07	Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification	Hard	Y. Demin		1.72	56%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 SantillanDeminPoints won57%43%Serve points won75%63%Return points won37%25%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved2 of 22 of 5Aces72Double faults11
2026-10-05	Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification	Hard	L. Castelnuovo		1.83	50%	WON
Games in each set6-3 3-6 7-6 SantillanCastelnuovoPoints won51%49%Serve points won64%63%Return points won37%36%Games held13 of 1513 of 15Break points saved16 of 1810 of 12Aces85Double faults63
2026-09-29	Jingshan	Hard	L. Pavlovic		2.25	59%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 SantillanPavlovicPoints won41%59%Serve points won62%79%Return points won21%38%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved1 of 41 of 1Aces410Double faults11
2026-09-23	Hangzhou	Hard	A. Bolt		2.87	66%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-2 4-6 SantillanBoltPoints won47%53%Serve points won57%66%Return points won34%43%Games held9 of 1211 of 13Break points saved5 of 82 of 4Aces88Double faults50

E. Zhu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	Y. Shimizu		3.14	70%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 ZhuShimizuPoints won35%65%Serve points won48%82%Return points won18%52%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved5 of 93 of 3Aces34Double faults10
2026-11-01	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	A. Santillan	RET	2.42	60%	WON
Games in each set0-1 ZhuSantillanPoints won38%62%
2026-10-25	Seoul	Hard	Y. Jeong		1.09	85%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 ZhuJeongPoints won47%53%Serve points won61%64%Return points won36%39%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved2 of 53 of 4Aces21Double faults11
2026-10-19	Guangzhou	Hard	M. Purcell		4.12	77%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 ZhuPurcellPoints won44%56%Serve points won66%82%Return points won18%34%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved3 of 50 of 0Aces27Double faults20
2026-10-18	Guangzhou	Hard	Y. Zeng		1.28	74%	WON
Games in each set6-1 1-6 6-3 ZhuZengPoints won52%48%Serve points won60%59%Return points won41%40%Games held9 of 127 of 11Break points saved7 of 102 of 6Aces58Double faults35
2026-10-14	M25 Qian Daohu	Hard	E. Pleshivtsev		1.19	80%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 4-6 0-6 ZhuPleshivtsevPoints won45%55%Serve points won52%64%Return points won36%48%Games held7 of 139 of 12Break points saved9 of 152 of 5
2026-10-07	Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification	Hard	A. Kachmazov		2.61	63%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 ZhuKachmazovPoints won48%52%Serve points won63%69%Return points won31%37%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved4 of 55 of 6Aces46Double faults51
2026-10-05	Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification	Hard	K. Matsuda		1.36	70%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 ZhuMatsudaPoints won57%43%Serve points won71%56%Return points won44%29%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 06 of 9Aces53Double faults15
2026-10-01	Jingshan	Hard	A. Bolt		2.81	66%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 2-6 ZhuBoltPoints won47%53%Serve points won59%68%Return points won32%41%Games held10 of 1513 of 15Break points saved5 of 106 of 8Aces71Double faults10
2026-09-30	Jingshan	Hard	H. Liu		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 ZhuLiuPoints won55%45%Serve points won66%56%Return points won44%34%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved3 of 40 of 3Aces62Double faults21

Common questions

Who is favourite, Akira Santillan or Evan Zhu?

Akira Santillan is favourite at 1.58, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Akira Santillan vs Evan Zhu?

Akira Santillan is 1.58 and Evan Zhu is 2.42, the prices we recorded for the Taipei match.

What is the head-to-head between Akira Santillan and Evan Zhu?

They have met 3 times and Evan Zhu leads 2-1.

Who will win Akira Santillan vs Evan Zhu?

Our model makes it Evan Zhu to win a set (Lean confidence).

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