Daniel Vallejo Adolfo v Lorenzo Sonego
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTD. Vallejo is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-11 on hard this season. L. Sonego is 3-7 over the last ten and 9-13 on hard this season. The head to head is D. Vallejo 0-1.
The pick is D. Vallejo to win. We make it a 51% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.96 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Vallejo | L. Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| 54 | Ranking | 87 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| WLLWL | Last 5 | WLWLL |
| +1.5 | V the odds | -1.5 |
| 49-25 | Season | 15-23 |
| 16-11 | Hard 2026 | 9-13 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Paris | D. VallejovL. Sonego | 3-6 6-4 6-7 |
| 2026-10-24 | Vienna | D. VallejovL. Sonego | 2-6 6-3 3-6 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Vallejo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | L. Sonego | 2.20 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-4 6-7 VallejoSonegoPoints won47%53%Serve points won67%76%Return points won24%33%Games held14 of 1614 of 15Break points saved6 of 81 of 2Aces316Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-31 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | G. Dimitrov | 2.08 | 54% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 4-6 6-3 VallejoDimitrovPoints won51%49%Serve points won66%66%Return points won34%34%Games held13 of 1513 of 16Break points saved7 of 91 of 4Aces57Double faults37 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | L. Sonego | 2.04 | 53% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 6-3 3-6 VallejoSonegoPoints won43%57%Serve points won64%79%Return points won21%36%Games held10 of 1312 of 13Break points saved1 of 42 of 3Aces314Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | T. Paul | 2.80 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 2-6 VallejoPaulPoints won38%62%Serve points won40%64%Return points won36%60%Games held2 of 86 of 8Break points saved4 of 103 of 5Aces15Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | V. Royer | 1.73 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-1 VallejoRoyerPoints won63%37%Serve points won76%50%Return points won50%24%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 01 of 5Aces83Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-04 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Lehecka | 3.28 | 71% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 1-6 VallejoLeheckaPoints won33%67%Serve points won43%80%Return points won20%57%Games held2 of 77 of 7Break points saved3 of 80 of 0Aces34Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-03 | Tokyo | Hard | M. Berrettini | 2.46 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-1 VallejoBerrettiniPoints won56%44%Serve points won77%62%Return points won38%23%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved3 of 33 of 5Aces54Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | R. Jodar | 4.67 | 79% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-3 VallejoJodarPoints won65%35%Serve points won68%38%Return points won62%32%Games held6 of 82 of 8Break points saved0 of 26 of 12Aces10Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Faria | 2.44 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 5-7 7-5 VallejoFariaPoints won51%49%Serve points won65%65%Return points won35%35%Games held15 of 1714 of 17Break points saved7 of 90 of 3Aces413Double faults45 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | T. Daniel | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-2 VallejoDanielPoints won60%40%Serve points won75%55%Return points won45%25%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved3 of 32 of 5Aces64Double faults01 | |||||||
L. Sonego — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | M. Bellucci | 2.31 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 3-6 SonegoBellucciPoints won43%57%Serve points won55%72%Return points won28%45%Games held6 of 108 of 9Break points saved4 of 84 of 5Aces63Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-11-01 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | D. Vallejo | 1.71 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 4-6 7-6 SonegoVallejoPoints won53%47%Serve points won76%67%Return points won33%24%Games held14 of 1514 of 16Break points saved1 of 26 of 8Aces163Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-31 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | J. Munar | 2.30 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-3 6-4 SonegoMunarPoints won52%48%Serve points won69%64%Return points won36%31%Games held16 of 1613 of 15Break points saved5 of 512 of 14Aces119Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | J. Fearnley | 2.21 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 7-6 4-6 SonegoFearnleyPoints won48%52%Serve points won62%64%Return points won36%38%Games held10 of 1414 of 15Break points saved5 of 95 of 6Aces42Double faults27 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | D. Vallejo | 1.82 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 3-6 6-3 SonegoVallejoPoints won57%43%Serve points won79%64%Return points won36%21%Games held12 of 1310 of 13Break points saved2 of 31 of 4Aces143Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | M. Kouame | 1.58 | 61% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 4-6 SonegoKouamePoints won47%53%Serve points won66%70%Return points won30%34%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved1 of 25 of 5Aces53Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Dougaz | 1.23 | 78% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 7-5 4-6 SonegoDougazPoints won52%48%Serve points won77%68%Return points won32%23%Games held16 of 1716 of 17Break points saved1 of 28 of 9Aces124Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | K. Majchrzak | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 2-6 SonegoMajchrzakPoints won43%57%Serve points won57%74%Return points won26%43%Games held6 of 109 of 10Break points saved5 of 91 of 2Aces91Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Brooksby | 2.13 | 54% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 5-7 2-6 SonegoBrooksbyPoints won45%55%Serve points won59%69%Return points won31%41%Games held12 of 1614 of 16Break points saved2 of 64 of 6Aces47Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Duckworth | 1.69 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 SonegoDuckworthPoints won56%44%Serve points won77%63%Return points won37%23%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved0 of 03 of 5Aces104Double faults11 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Daniel Vallejo Adolfo or Lorenzo Sonego?
Lorenzo Sonego is favourite at 1.71, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Daniel Vallejo Adolfo vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Daniel Vallejo Adolfo is 2.20 and Lorenzo Sonego is 1.71, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
What is the head-to-head between Daniel Vallejo Adolfo and Lorenzo Sonego?
They have met 2 times and Lorenzo Sonego leads 2-0.
Who will win Daniel Vallejo Adolfo vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Our model makes it Daniel Vallejo Adolfo to win at 2.19 (Strong confidence).