David Goffin v Alex Michelsen
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONA. Michelsen is 6-4 over the last ten and 28-14 on hard this season. D. Goffin is 3-7 over the last ten and 1-6 on hard this season.
The pick is A. Michelsen to win 2-0. We make it a 69% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.44 or bigger. At 1.30 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Goffin | A. Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|
| 461 | Ranking | 35 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLLLL | Last 5 | WLLLW |
| -0.8 | V the odds | +0.3 |
| 3-11 | Season | 36-22 |
| 1-6 | Hard 2026 | 28-14 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 3d | Days rest | 3d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Brussels | D. GoffinvA. Michelsen | 3-6 4-6 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Goffin — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | A. Michelsen | 9.93 | 90% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 4-6 GoffinMichelsenPoints won45%55%Serve points won57%66%Return points won34%43%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved2 of 53 of 4Aces58Double faults34 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | R. Bertola | 2.61 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-4 GoffinBertolaPoints won50%50%Serve points won61%64%Return points won36%39%Games held12 of 1411 of 14Break points saved9 of 113 of 6Aces58Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | C. Chidekh | 3.45 | 73% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 0-6 GoffinChidekhPoints won35%65%Serve points won43%73%Return points won27%57%Games held1 of 67 of 7Break points saved6 of 111 of 1Aces07Double faults41 | |||||||
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | M. Lajal | 4.10 | 76% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 4-6 GoffinLajalPoints won47%53%Serve points won59%62%Return points won38%41%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved4 of 78 of 9Aces35Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-06-22 | Wimbledon | Grass | A. Guerrieri | 1.75 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 5-7 2-6 GoffinGuerrieriPoints won45%55%Serve points won52%64%Return points won36%48%Games held9 of 1510 of 14Break points saved15 of 215 of 9Aces85Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-05-20 | French Open | Clay | T. Samuel | 2.03 | 53% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 3-6 3-6 GoffinSamuelPoints won49%51%Serve points won60%60%Return points won40%40%Games held10 of 1512 of 15Break points saved5 of 1011 of 14Aces43Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-05-18 | French Open | Clay | C. H. Tseng | 2.59 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-1 GoffinTsengPoints won59%41%Serve points won63%47%Return points won53%37%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved4 of 53 of 8Aces12Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-04-29 | Aix en Provence | Clay | T. Faurel | 1.59 | 61% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 4-6 GoffinFaurelPoints won39%61%Serve points won49%69%Return points won31%51%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved0 of 43 of 4Aces12Double faults61 | |||||||
| 2026-04-11 | Munich | Clay | E. Nava | 2.78 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 2-6 GoffinNavaPoints won45%55%Serve points won57%67%Return points won33%43%Games held5 of 98 of 9Aces16Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo | Clay | E. Nava | 2.51 | 63% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 7-6 6-7 GoffinNavaPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%70%Return points won30%36%Games held13 of 1615 of 17Aces014Double faults21 | |||||||
A. Michelsen — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | A. Fils | 2.69 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-7 MichelsenFilsPoints won47%53%Serve points won60%67%Return points won33%40%Games held8 of 119 of 11Break points saved1 of 42 of 4Aces26Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | D. Goffin | 1.07 | 90% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 MichelsenGoffinPoints won55%45%Serve points won66%57%Return points won43%34%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved3 of 42 of 5Aces85Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | A. Guerrieri | 1.24 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-2 MichelsenGuerrieriPoints won62%38%Serve points won69%46%Return points won54%31%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved0 of 02 of 6Aces30Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 1.52 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 MichelsenZandschulpPoints won46%54%Serve points won63%70%Return points won30%37%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved1 of 35 of 5Aces53Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 5.79 | 83% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-4 1-6 MichelsenAlcarazPoints won46%54%Serve points won53%60%Return points won40%47%Games held8 of 1410 of 15Break points saved7 of 138 of 13Aces05Double faults45 | |||||||
| 2026-09-08 | US Open | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 2.36 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 6-3 5-7 3-6 6-7 MichelsenTiafoePoints won50%50%Serve points won62%60%Return points won40%38%Games held19 of 2719 of 27Break points saved9 of 1715 of 23Aces2110Double faults94 | |||||||
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | T. M. Etcheverry | 1.37 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-4 6-4 MichelsenEtcheverryPoints won52%48%Serve points won71%66%Return points won34%29%Games held15 of 1613 of 16Break points saved4 of 51 of 4Aces126Double faults70 | |||||||
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | D. Merida Aguilar | 1.53 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-4 6-3 MichelsenAguilarPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%62%Return points won38%28%Games held14 of 1512 of 16Break points saved4 of 53 of 7Aces68Double faults17 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | B. Nakashima | 2.99 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 6-4 MichelsenNakashimaPoints won56%44%Serve points won75%63%Return points won37%25%Games held14 of 1510 of 14Break points saved2 of 33 of 7Aces410Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | F. Cina | 1.22 | 80% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-1 6-0 MichelsenCinaPoints won59%41%Serve points won66%49%Return points won51%34%Games held12 of 125 of 11Break points saved6 of 69 of 15Aces62Double faults81 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, David Goffin or Alex Michelsen?
Alex Michelsen is favourite at 1.07, which is a 90% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen?
David Goffin is 9.93 and Alex Michelsen is 1.07, the prices we recorded for the Brussels match.
What is the head-to-head between David Goffin and Alex Michelsen?
They have met 1 time and Alex Michelsen leads 1-0.
Who will win David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen?
Our model makes it Alex Michelsen to win 2-0 at 1.30 (Lean confidence).