Jan-Lennard Struff v Arthur Gea
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanJ-L. Struff is 7-3 over the last ten and 17-17 on hard this season. A. Gea is 7-3 over the last ten and 32-9 on hard this season. J-L. Struff has played 4 matches in seven days. A. Gea retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is J-L. Struff to win. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.92 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J-L. Struff | A. Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Ranking | 56 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LWWWL | Last 5 | LWWWW |
| +2.8 | V the odds | +1.5 |
| 27-26 | Season | 49-19 |
| 17-17 | Hard 2026 | 32-9 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 3d | Days rest | 18d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J-L. Struff — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | J. Lehecka | 2.73 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 5-7 4-6 StruffLeheckaPoints won47%53%Serve points won65%70%Return points won30%35%Games held13 of 1514 of 16Break points saved2 of 45 of 7Aces1122Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-30 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | N. Borges | 1.82 | 54% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 StruffBorgesPoints won60%40%Serve points won67%49%Return points won51%33%Games held7 of 93 of 8Break points saved2 of 43 of 8Aces96Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | N. Djokovic | 4.05 | 76% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 7-5 7-6 StruffDjokovicPoints won50%50%Serve points won74%77%Return points won23%26%Games held18 of 1817 of 18Break points saved6 of 62 of 3Aces2721Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | Y. Hanfmann | 1.75 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 StruffHanfmannPoints won58%42%Serve points won79%65%Return points won35%21%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved0 of 00 of 2Aces73Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | T. Griekspoor | 2.18 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 4-6 StruffGriekspoorPoints won46%54%Serve points won64%71%Return points won29%36%Games held12 of 1414 of 15Break points saved3 of 56 of 7Aces1719Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | A. Fils | 4.79 | 80% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-7 7-6 StruffFilsPoints won51%49%Serve points won72%68%Return points won32%28%Games held15 of 1714 of 17Break points saved4 of 67 of 10Aces1517Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | Z. Bergs | 2.86 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-6 StruffBergsPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%67%Return points won33%32%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved5 of 51 of 2Aces513Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | G. Onclin | 1.33 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 StruffOnclinPoints won56%44%Serve points won70%59%Return points won41%30%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved4 of 41 of 4Aces133Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | M. Giron | 1.61 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 7-6 StruffGironPoints won56%44%Serve points won79%62%Return points won38%21%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved1 of 28 of 9Aces158Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Medvedev | 6.45 | 85% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 4-6 3-6 StruffMedvedevPoints won45%55%Serve points won62%72%Return points won28%38%Games held11 of 1413 of 15Break points saved3 of 64 of 6Aces721Double faults15 | |||||||
A. Gea — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | RET | 1.98 | 51% | LOST |
Games in each set1-4 GeaFokinaPoints won27%73%Serve points won35%85%Return points won15%65%Games held1 of 32 of 2Break points saved3 of 50 of 0Aces20Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Mensik | 2.48 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-4 GeaMensikPoints won52%48%Serve points won72%70%Return points won30%28%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved2 of 23 of 4Aces116Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Shelton | 3.44 | 72% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 7-6 GeaSheltonPoints won53%47%Serve points won66%59%Return points won41%34%Games held9 of 129 of 12Break points saved5 of 85 of 8Aces47Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | U. Humbert | 1.85 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-1 GeaHumbertPoints won54%46%Serve points won69%62%Return points won38%31%Games held11 of 139 of 13Break points saved3 of 52 of 6Aces85Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Faria | 1.56 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-1 6-2 GeaFariaPoints won58%42%Serve points won78%58%Return points won42%22%Games held13 of 139 of 14Break points saved2 of 23 of 8Aces77Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 2.28 | 57% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 7-6 2-6 GeaHurkaczPoints won48%52%Serve points won69%71%Return points won29%31%Games held14 of 1616 of 16Break points saved0 of 25 of 5Aces813Double faults34 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | Z. Zhang | 1.29 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 GeaZhangPoints won57%43%Serve points won65%52%Return points won48%35%Games held8 of 105 of 9Break points saved2 of 41 of 5Aces61Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | T. Machac | 1.62 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 GeaMachacPoints won57%43%Serve points won77%64%Return points won36%23%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved1 of 12 of 4Aces75Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | R. Te | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 GeaTePoints won57%43%Serve points won71%56%Return points won44%29%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved2 of 22 of 5Aces84Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2.40 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 7-6 6-7 6-7 4-6 GeaZandschulpPoints won51%49%Serve points won59%58%Return points won42%41%Games held21 of 2820 of 27Break points saved14 of 219 of 16Aces1015Double faults129 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Jan-Lennard Struff or Arthur Gea?
Arthur Gea is favourite at 1.85, which is a 52% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea?
Jan-Lennard Struff is 2.04 and Arthur Gea is 1.85, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
Who will win Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea?
Our model makes it Jan-Lennard Struff to win at 2.00 (Lean confidence).