ChallengerHard (Indoor)Bratislava 22026-11-01 14:30

Matyas Cerny v Sebastian Sorger

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON

M. Cerny to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 1.79 or bigger · our chance 56% · market 23/77, us 27/73

M. Cerny is 5-5 over the last ten and 2-5 on hard this season. S. Sorger is 4-6 over the last ten and 13-10 on hard this season.

The pick is M. Cerny to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.79 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. Cerny		S. Sorger
699	Ranking	-
5-5	Last 10	4-6
LWLWL	Last 5	LLWLL
-0.1	V the odds	-1.9
24-19	Season	38-24
2-5	Hard 2026	13-10
0	Last 7 days	0
20d	Days rest	8d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Cerny4.1423%

S. SorgerFAV1.2577%

Market says77% Sorger

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. CernyLLWLW

S. SorgerLWLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Cerny0

S. Sorger1

Head to head1 meeting

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-11-01	Bratislava 2	M. CernyvS. Sorger	6-0 1-6 3-6

This season & this event

M. Cerny

S. Sorger

24-20

2-6

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

39-25

14-11

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Matyas Cerny

Czech Republic

Sebastian Sorger

Austria

699

Czech Republic

9–6

1–2

8–4

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

564

Austria

35–24

0–1

35–23

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Cerny — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Bratislava 2	Hard (Indoor)	S. Sorger		4.14	77%	LOST
Games in each set6-0 1-6 3-6 CernySorgerPoints won47%53%Serve points won51%56%Return points won44%49%Games held6 of 117 of 11Break points saved3 of 85 of 9Aces24Double faults33
2026-10-12	Olbia	Hard	D. Kuzmanov		4.92	81%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 CernyKuzmanovPoints won41%59%Serve points won56%70%Return points won30%44%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved3 of 69 of 9Aces11Double faults30
2026-10-11	Olbia	Hard	V. Ursu	RET	3.00	69%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-3 0-1 CernyUrsuPoints won52%48%Serve points won63%61%Return points won39%37%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved4 of 50 of 2Aces22Double faults04
2026-10-05	Palermo (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	D. Sakellaridis		1.50	63%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 1-6 6-7 CernySakellaridisPoints won49%51%Serve points won56%57%Return points won43%44%Games held8 of 149 of 14Break points saved4 of 106 of 11Aces24Double faults31
2026-10-04	Palermo (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	F. Andaloro		1.74	54%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-1 CernyAndaloroPoints won63%37%Serve points won80%54%Return points won46%20%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved0 of 01 of 4Aces32Double faults14
2026-09-26	M25 Pardubice	Clay	S. Baum		1.36	69%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 CernyBaumPoints won44%56%Serve points won54%66%Return points won34%46%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved3 of 68 of 8
2026-09-24	M25 Pardubice	Clay	D. Petrofsky		1.01	93%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 CernyPetrofskyPoints won57%43%Serve points won75%58%Return points won42%25%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved2 of 29 of 11
2026-09-22	M25 Pardubice	Clay	F. J. Planinsek		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-0 4-6 6-4 CernyPlaninsekPoints won53%47%Serve points won60%56%Return points won44%40%Games held11 of 138 of 13Break points saved10 of 126 of 11
2026-09-14	Szczecin	Clay	J. Nikles		2.45	61%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 CernyNiklesPoints won41%59%Serve points won54%74%Return points won26%46%Games held5 of 98 of 8Break points saved1 of 51 of 1Aces12Double faults02
2026-09-13	Szczecin	Clay	F. Misolic		4.41	78%	WON
Games in each set4-6 7-5 6-4 CernyMisolicPoints won50%50%Serve points won58%58%Return points won42%42%Games held11 of 1610 of 16Break points saved3 of 84 of 10Aces23Double faults05

S. Sorger — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Bratislava 2	Hard (Indoor)	G. Mpetshi Perricard	4.38	78%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 7-5 6-7 SorgerPerricardPoints won50%50%Serve points won77%75%Return points won25%23%Games held15 of 1616 of 17Break points saved1 of 20 of 1Aces726Double faults34
2026-11-01	Bratislava 2	Hard (Indoor)	M. Cerny	1.25	77%	WON
Games in each set0-6 6-1 6-3 SorgerCernyPoints won53%47%Serve points won56%51%Return points won49%44%Games held7 of 116 of 11Break points saved5 of 93 of 8Aces42Double faults33
2026-10-24	Vienna	Hard (Indoor)	F. Marozsan	4.89	80%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 4-6 4-6 SorgerMarozsanPoints won48%52%Serve points won61%64%Return points won36%39%Games held11 of 1412 of 15Break points saved7 of 109 of 12Aces75Double faults52
2026-10-22	M25 Redbridge (United Kingdom)	Hard	F. Murgett	—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 SorgerMurgettPoints won48%52%Serve points won63%67%Return points won33%37%Games held9 of 1111 of 12Break points saved5 of 71 of 2
2026-10-20	M25 Redbridge (United Kingdom)	Hard	R. Lawlor	1.19	80%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-7 6-4 SorgerLawlorPoints won53%47%Serve points won60%54%Return points won46%40%Games held13 of 1712 of 18Break points saved8 of 126 of 12
2026-09-23	M25 Pardubice	Clay	S. Baum	1.41	66%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-2 2-6 SorgerBaumPoints won50%50%Serve points won51%51%Return points won49%49%Games held6 of 137 of 13Break points saved4 of 116 of 12
2026-09-07	Tulln	Clay	M. Krumich	2.04	53%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 4-6 3-6 SorgerKrumichPoints won48%52%Serve points won65%66%Return points won34%35%Games held12 of 1413 of 14Break points saved4 of 612 of 13Aces43Double faults43
2026-09-03	Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	V. Aboian	1.22	75%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 0-6 2-6 SorgerAboianPoints won44%56%Serve points won53%65%Return points won35%47%Games held6 of 1311 of 13Break points saved7 of 149 of 11Aces03Double faults31
2026-09-01	Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	P. Brunclik	1.79	54%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-1 SorgerBrunclikPoints won56%44%Serve points won64%52%Return points won48%36%Games held8 of 105 of 9Break points saved3 of 52 of 6Aces34Double faults45
2026-08-29	M25 Maribor	Clay	S. Pieri	1.36	68%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 2-6 4-6 SorgerPieriPoints won45%55%Serve points won51%62%Return points won38%49%Games held8 of 1410 of 14Break points saved7 of 131 of 5

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matyas Cerny or Sebastian Sorger?

Sebastian Sorger is favourite at 1.25, which is a 77% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matyas Cerny vs Sebastian Sorger?

Matyas Cerny is 4.14 and Sebastian Sorger is 1.25, the prices we recorded for the Bratislava 2 match.

What is the head-to-head between Matyas Cerny and Sebastian Sorger?

They have met 1 time and Sebastian Sorger leads 1-0.

Who will win Matyas Cerny vs Sebastian Sorger?

Our model makes it Matyas Cerny to win a set (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Brunold v Krajci Zakaria v Visker Braynin v Krajci Houkes v Macej Prihodko v Kelm Poullain v Lanik