WTA Tokyo 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries and
The WTA Tokyo main draw begins on 30 September, with Diana Shnaider, Leylah Fernandez and Mia Pohankova leading the field. 18 players and 16 singles matches on our card, hard court.
When is the WTA Tokyo?
The tournament starts on 30 September, with the final on 6 October.
Who are the title favourites for the WTA Tokyo?
Diana Shnaider is the favourite with a 42.9% chance of the title, ahead of Leylah Fernandez on 35.3%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider 3 | 42.9% | 2.3 |
| Leylah Fernandez | 35.3% | 2.8 |
| Mia Pohankova | 13.1% | 7.6 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova LL | 8.6% | 11.6 |
What is the surface at the WTA Tokyo?
The tournament is played on hard court at the Ariake Tennis Forest Park in Tokyo.
How this court plays.
Servers held
+1.4% vs tour average 80.9%
1st serve points won
+1.3% vs tour average 73.1%
Sets to a tiebreak
+5.3% vs tour average 19.7%
Aces
+0.15 vs tour average 0.47
ATP match statistics, 2025 edition
What is the weather forecast for the WTA Tokyo?
Forecast for Tokyo, updated every build.
| Day | High | Low | Rain | Wind km/h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 September | 21° | 18° | 100% | 14 |
| 1 October | 28° | 19° | 55% | 15 |
| 2 October | 23° | 19° | 98% | 15 |
| 3 October | 23° | 18° | 4% | 15 |
| 4 October | 22° | 17° | 12% | 14 |
| 5 October | 21° | 18° | 78% | 16 |
| 6 October | 26° | 20° | 24% | 17 |
Who won the WTA Tokyo in 2025?
Belinda Bencic won it in 2025, beating Linda Noskova 2-0.
Which players come to the WTA Tokyo in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | 5-1 | 83% |
| Leylah Fernandez | 11-3 | 79% |
| Maja Chwalinska | 7-2 | 78% |
| Diana Shnaider | 9-3 | 75% |
| Mia Pohankova | 6-2 | 75% |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 11-4 | 73% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Alycia Parks | L 0-2, W 2-0, W 2-0 | 2 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Belinda Bencic | L 0-2, W-ret, L 0-2 | retired in the last 90 days |
| Alexandra Eala | L 1-2, W 2-1, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 1-2, W 2-1, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
Which home players are in the WTA Tokyo?
1 player from Japan are in the singles draw. Naomi Osaka.
What is the WTA Tokyo prize money?
Singles, by round.
| Round | Prize money | Ranking points |
|---|---|---|
| Winner | $437,955 | 500 |
| Finalist | $235,685 | 330 |
| Semi-finalist | $125,605 | 200 |
| Quarter-finalist | $64,170 | 100 |
| Round of 16 | $34,255 | 50 |
| Round of 32 | $18,270 | 0 |
What are the first round matchups at the WTA Tokyo?
| Match | Time (UTC) | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova v Ekaterina Alexandrova | 02:30 | 3.68 / 1.33 | 73% E. Alexandrova |
| Alycia Parks v Maja Chwalinska | 03:00 | — | — |
| Alycia Parks v Kimberly Birrell | 03:00 | 2.51 / 1.60 | 61% K. Birrell |
| Alexandra Eala v Talia Gibson | 03:00 | 1.39 / 3.27 | 70% A. Eala |
| Belinda Bencic v Ekaterina Alexandrova | 03:00 | — | — |
| Cristina Bucsa v Maya Joint | 03:00 | 2.11 / 1.81 | 54% M. Joint |
| Elena Rybakina v Yulia Putintseva | 03:00 | 1.15 / 6.28 | 85% E. Rybakina |
| Leylah Fernandez v Elise Mertens | 03:00 | 2.06 / 1.85 | 53% E. Mertens |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich v Diana Shnaider | 03:00 | 3.72 / 1.32 | 74% D. Shnaider |
| Naomi Osaka v Mia Pohankova | 03:00 | 1.24 / 4.55 | 79% N. Osaka |