Arthur Fery v Lorenzo Musetti
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTL. Musetti is 7-3 over the last ten and 22-9 on hard this season. A. Fery is 5-5 over the last ten and 17-11 on hard this season. L. Musetti has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is A. Fery 0-1.
The pick is L. Musetti to win. We make it a 75% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.34 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Fery | L. Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Ranking | 25 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WLLWL | Last 5 | WWWWW |
| -0.3 | V the odds | +0.7 |
| 33-19 | Season | 26-12 |
| 17-11 | Hard 2026 | 22-9 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 3d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Defending semi |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Vienna | A. FeryvL. Musetti | 6-4 5-7 6-4 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | A. FeryvL. Musetti | 3-6 3-6 5-7 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Fery — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | A. Zverev | 6.92 | 86% | LOST | |
Games in each set0-6 2-6 FeryZverevPoints won33%67%Serve points won45%82%Return points won18%55%Games held2 of 77 of 7Break points saved4 of 90 of 0Aces15Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | L. Musetti | 3.61 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 5-7 6-4 FeryMusettiPoints won51%49%Serve points won64%65%Return points won35%36%Games held14 of 1613 of 16Break points saved7 of 95 of 8Aces04Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | J. Fearnley | RET | 2.06 | 53% | WON |
Games in each set5-1 FeryFearnleyPoints won61%39%Serve points won64%44%Return points won56%36%Games held3 of 31 of 3Break points saved0 of 01 of 3Aces10Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-10-20 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | B. Gojo | 1.57 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-7 FeryGojoPoints won46%54%Serve points won62%67%Return points won33%38%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved3 of 55 of 6Aces29Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | K. Khachanov | 2.97 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 7-6 6-7 FeryKhachanovPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%62%Return points won38%37%Games held15 of 1815 of 18Break points saved10 of 138 of 11Aces611Double faults72 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Cilic | 1.61 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-1 FeryCilicPoints won57%43%Serve points won70%56%Return points won44%30%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved1 of 23 of 6Aces66Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Faria | 1.99 | 51% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 4-6 FeryFariaPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%64%Return points won36%37%Games held11 of 1412 of 15Break points saved7 of 105 of 8Aces311Double faults28 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Guillen Meza | 1.07 | 90% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-0 FeryMezaPoints won61%39%Serve points won75%52%Return points won48%25%Games held9 of 95 of 9Break points saved2 of 24 of 8Aces20Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | L. Musetti | 3.97 | 75% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 3-6 5-7 FeryMusettiPoints won42%58%Serve points won55%73%Return points won27%45%Games held9 of 1513 of 15Break points saved3 of 94 of 6Aces07Double faults54 | |||||||
| 2026-08-29 | Winston-Salem | Hard | I. Buse | 1.80 | 54% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 FeryBusePoints won39%61%Serve points won49%69%Return points won31%51%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved3 of 70 of 1Aces02Double faults11 | |||||||
L. Musetti — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | A. Fery | 1.34 | 73% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 7-5 4-6 MusettiFeryPoints won49%51%Serve points won65%64%Return points won36%35%Games held13 of 1614 of 16Break points saved5 of 87 of 9Aces40Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | F. Tiafoe | 2.21 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 7-5 MusettiTiafoePoints won55%45%Serve points won77%63%Return points won37%23%Games held12 of 1211 of 12Break points saved0 of 05 of 6Aces54Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | T. Fritz | 2.84 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 MusettiFritzPoints won57%43%Serve points won73%63%Return points won37%27%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved0 of 02 of 4Aces46Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cobolli | 2.16 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-2 7-5 MusettiCobolliPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%65%Return points won35%33%Games held14 of 1512 of 15Break points saved8 of 90 of 3Aces54Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | L. van Assche | 1.46 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-7 6-4 MusettiAsschePoints won51%49%Serve points won69%66%Return points won34%31%Games held16 of 1715 of 17Break points saved3 of 46 of 8Aces67Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | M. Kouame | 1.27 | 77% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MusettiKouamePoints won55%45%Serve points won73%58%Return points won42%27%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 19 of 12Aces26Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | M. Arnaldi | 1.49 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-4 MusettiArnaldiPoints won57%43%Serve points won70%55%Return points won45%30%Games held8 of 85 of 9Break points saved6 of 61 of 5Aces50Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Zhou | 1.23 | 79% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-3 6-7 MusettiZhouPoints won52%48%Serve points won76%69%Return points won31%24%Games held17 of 1715 of 16Break points saved2 of 24 of 5Aces514Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | D. Sweeny | 1.04 | 93% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 1-6 2-6 2-6 MusettiSweenyPoints won44%56%Serve points won52%65%Return points won35%48%Games held8 of 1613 of 16Break points saved9 of 177 of 10Aces65Double faults72 | |||||||
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | A. Fery | 1.29 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-3 7-5 MusettiFeryPoints won58%42%Serve points won73%55%Return points won45%27%Games held13 of 159 of 15Break points saved4 of 63 of 9Aces70Double faults45 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Arthur Fery or Lorenzo Musetti?
Lorenzo Musetti is favourite at 1.34, which is a 73% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Arthur Fery is 3.61 and Lorenzo Musetti is 1.34, the prices we recorded for the Vienna match.
What is the head-to-head between Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Musetti?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Our model makes it Lorenzo Musetti to win at 1.34 (Lean confidence).