Arthur Fils v Tomas Machac
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongT. Machac is 7-3 over the last ten and 18-15 on hard this season. A. Fils is 6-4 over the last ten and 34-12 on hard this season. A. Fils took a medical timeout on 2026-10-30. A. Fils retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is A. Fils 1-0.
The pick is T. Machac to win. We make it a 43% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.31 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Fils | T. Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ranking | 72 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | WWWLW |
| -1.3 | V the odds | +0.7 |
| 41-16 | Season | 23-19 |
| 34-12 | Hard 2026 | 18-15 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 5d | Days rest | 2d |
| 0 | Wins here | 3 |
| MTOretired | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-18 | ATP Halle | A. FilsvT. Machac | 6-4 6-4 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Fils — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | T. Fritz | RET | 1.92 | 51% | LOST |
Games in each set2-6 0-2 FilsFritzPoints won33%67%Serve points won41%77%Return points won23%59%Games held1 of 54 of 5Break points saved4 of 81 of 2Aces07Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | A. Michelsen | 1.48 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 7-6 FilsMichelsenPoints won50%50%Serve points won65%67%Return points won33%35%Games held14 of 1613 of 15Break points saved6 of 85 of 7Aces74Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | G. Mpetshi Perricard | 1.29 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 7-5 FilsPerricardPoints won52%48%Serve points won74%66%Return points won34%26%Games held12 of 1211 of 12Break points saved1 of 112 of 13Aces521Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | J-L. Struff | 1.23 | 80% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 7-6 6-7 FilsStruffPoints won49%51%Serve points won68%72%Return points won28%32%Games held14 of 1715 of 17Break points saved7 of 104 of 6Aces1715Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | A. Michelsen | 1.52 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 FilsMichelsenPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%60%Return points won40%33%Games held9 of 118 of 11Break points saved2 of 41 of 4Aces62Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 1.23 | 79% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 4-6 FilsZandschulpPoints won47%53%Serve points won61%65%Return points won35%39%Games held8 of 1110 of 11Break points saved3 of 68 of 9Aces66Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | P. Kotov | 1.10 | 88% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 FilsKotovPoints won58%42%Serve points won73%59%Return points won41%27%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved2 of 25 of 7Aces84Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-04 | Tokyo | Hard | V. Vacherot | 1.25 | 78% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 6-4 4-6 FilsVacherotPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%62%Return points won38%41%Games held12 of 1613 of 16Break points saved5 of 95 of 8Aces614Double faults84 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Tokyo | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 1.36 | 72% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-5 FilsTiafoePoints won55%45%Serve points won74%64%Return points won36%26%Games held11 of 118 of 10Break points saved2 of 23 of 5Aces104Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | L. van Assche | 1.16 | 82% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-2 FilsAsschePoints won58%42%Serve points won68%53%Return points won47%32%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved3 of 37 of 10Aces124Double faults31 | |||||||
T. Machac — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | K. Jacquet | 1.48 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-1 MachacJacquetPoints won55%45%Serve points won70%61%Return points won39%30%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved2 of 21 of 3Aces1511Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-11-01 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | S. Baez | 1.18 | 81% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-4 MachacBaezPoints won57%43%Serve points won77%55%Return points won45%23%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 09 of 12Aces82Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-31 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | M. Landaluce | 1.50 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 MachacLandalucePoints won56%44%Serve points won70%60%Return points won40%30%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved7 of 74 of 6Aces26Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | A. De Minaur | 2.97 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-1 4-6 3-6 MachacMinaurPoints won51%49%Serve points won57%56%Return points won44%43%Games held8 of 138 of 13Break points saved6 of 113 of 8Aces32Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | C. Moutet | 1.58 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MachacMoutetPoints won58%42%Serve points won71%52%Return points won48%29%Games held7 of 74 of 6Break points saved0 of 02 of 4Aces51Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | K. Khachanov | 3.29 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 6-4 6-7 MachacKhachanovPoints won48%52%Serve points won66%71%Return points won29%34%Games held13 of 1514 of 15Break points saved4 of 614 of 15Aces314Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | Z. Nurlanuly | 1.04 | 93% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-0 MachacNurlanulyPoints won65%35%Serve points won69%40%Return points won60%31%Games held6 of 71 of 7Break points saved3 of 42 of 8Aces80Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | L. Draxl | 1.38 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 4-6 MachacDraxlPoints won50%50%Serve points won56%56%Return points won44%44%Games held10 of 1510 of 14Break points saved5 of 1012 of 16Aces85Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan | Hard | A. Vukic | 1.45 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 MachacVukicPoints won61%39%Serve points won72%49%Return points won51%28%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved0 of 02 of 6Aces52Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | A. Muller | 1.45 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 MachacMullerPoints won56%44%Serve points won69%54%Return points won46%31%Games held8 of 96 of 10Break points saved1 of 24 of 8Aces42Double faults01 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Arthur Fils or Tomas Machac?
Arthur Fils is favourite at 1.52, which is a 64% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac?
Arthur Fils is 1.52 and Tomas Machac is 2.68, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
What is the head-to-head between Arthur Fils and Tomas Machac?
They have met 1 time and Arthur Fils leads 1-0.
Who will win Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac?
Our model makes it Tomas Machac to win at 2.68 (Strong confidence).